{"sources": [{"url": "https://api.imd.fun/artifacts/7236701c55bd1d2e0674854545ae0bbe4d4b54508c7f7a7c914261696b02e158", "quote": "Defends against the arbitrageur by knowing where p is before quoting."}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/docs/orderbook_prediction_market_challenge.md", "quote": "The score is participant edge, not terminal PnL."}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/process.py", "quote": "    - Gaussian diffusion over the remaining steps\n    - plus a compound Poisson number of Gaussian jumps"}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/runner.py", "quote": "    config = sample_config(base_config, variance, seed=seed)"}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/market.py", "quote": "            tick = order.price_ticks - spread\n            side = Side.BUY"}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/config.py", "quote": "    jump_intensity_min: float = 0.0008\n    jump_intensity_max: float = 0.0030\n    jump_sigma_min: float = 0.20\n    jump_sigma_max: float = 0.60"}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/engine.py", "quote": "                process.step()\n                probability = process.current_true_probability()"}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/types.py", "quote": "    `buy_filled_quantity` and `sell_filled_quantity` are the participant's\n    aggregate filled quantities from the previous step."}, {"url": "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge/b244530ee2a6247b5f930830eeca9dd950da0e7e/orderbook_pm_challenge/sandbox.py", "quote": "SAFE_ORDERBOOK_PM_IMPORTS: frozenset[str] = frozenset({"}]}