{
  "key": "blend-gauss",
  "idea": "Blend arb-branch and retail-branch log quotes in the Gaussian+qm policy, with sharpened posterior weight g=1.5.",
  "settings_tried": [
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 0.5,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": -0.03629836769800887,
      "se": 0.03463294726857918
    },
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 1,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": 0.27520466480606376,
      "se": 0.03192269997524355
    },
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 1.5,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": 0.32487122710302674,
      "se": 0.030724215526882388
    },
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 2,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": 0.2778018995327809,
      "se": 0.030664812787253626
    },
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 3,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": 0.27286855855188175,
      "se": 0.03217088549640637
    },
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 4,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": 0.20877192241899367,
      "se": 0.033709094467443565
    },
    {
      "setting": {
        "g": 8,
        "soft": 1,
        "qm": "qm_k1e-5.json",
        "pi_low": 0.001,
        "pi_high": 0.999
      },
      "n": 256,
      "mean_diff": 0.04172648602988405,
      "se": 0.03441816526608324
    }
  ],
  "confirm_paired": {
    "n": 256,
    "mean_diff": 0.24949747896026286,
    "se": 0.026936267442261828
  },
  "holdout_paired": {
    "n": 2048,
    "mean_diff": 0.31928616670818144,
    "se": 0.010933121499818012,
    "sum": 653.8980694183556,
    "sumsq": 709.894155387023,
    "worst5": [
      [
        11062,
        -2.388
      ],
      [
        10146,
        -1.786
      ],
      [
        12005,
        -1.742
      ],
      [
        11976,
        -1.343
      ],
      [
        11404,
        -1.238
      ]
    ]
  },
  "misread_rate": {
    "base": 0.1727641268317719,
    "mine": 0.16960623508872824
  },
  "price_error_bps": {
    "base": 14.384445042796441,
    "mine": 14.337321092369338
  },
  "gas_estimate": {
    "measured": false,
    "extra_persistent_slots": 0,
    "retained_transient_scalars": 5,
    "extra_lookups_per_ambiguous_callback": 1,
    "literal_extra_scalar_table_reads": 16,
    "optimized_extra_scalar_table_reads_typical": 8,
    "optimized_extra_scalar_table_reads_max": 16,
    "literal_quote_stage_extra_ln_max": 7,
    "literal_quote_stage_extra_exp_max": 6,
    "literal_quote_stage_extra_sqrt": 1,
    "literal_weight_power_calls": 3,
    "optimized_extra_ln": 0,
    "optimized_extra_exp": 0,
    "optimized_extra_sqrt_for_g1_5": 2,
    "optimized_extra_gas_per_ambiguous_callback_min": 15000,
    "optimized_extra_gas_per_ambiguous_callback_max": 35000,
    "extra_gas_per_other_callback_estimate": 50,
    "ambiguous_callback_fraction_on_20_tuning_seeds": 0.573501708375658,
    "assumptions": "Optimized raw log-distance lookups, reused log spot/rival, constant log(.997), g=1.5 via two square roots, packed embedded tables. Rough estimate, no EVM measurement; see README for formulas and literal math counts."
  },
  "code_zb64": 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",
  "code_sha256": "67b007cdc983c572114105ccace559ad536685302c384fd6a789d307a39fce54",
  "notes": "Tuned only 60000..60255; selected g=1.5 by tuning mean, confirmed once on 60256..60511; code/options frozen before the four 512-seed holdout runs (PROCS=8). All scores use unmodified run.py Blind, paired with Gaussian+qm, not lattice. Misread and RMS fields are pooled holdout callback diagnostics. Belief/classifier equations are unchanged; changed quotes alter later observations. First loss: g=.5 over-softened; g=8 removed most gain. Raw non-blended returns retain real.py behavior; the replica clamps them. Gas is an unbenchmarked estimate for the optimized log-distance port, not proof of the 245k gate. No Rust engine seeds consumed. Prior episode artifact tar hash mismatched its declaration; this archive hash is verified. Next: port the log-distance blend, verify fixed-point fee parity and gas, then try two-hypothesis value lookup on fresh tuning seeds. See archive README for exact commands, formulas, diagnostics, and dependency pins."
}